Russia can reliably destroy the F-16s in Ukraine and win the war
This is a lousy time to start a war, America. You're not prepared.
Here is your daily missile strike update for May 27, 2023
Below you will find a translation with my notes in bold typeface and in [brackets]. You can consult the map linked here, and also read my explanation of possible motives for these strikes.
I started chronicling the daily Russian air strikes on Ukraine infrastructure in an attempt to avoid being lied to by the Western press, which had falsely claimed starting in March of 2022 that Russia was running out of missiles. I knew that Russia would not have been foolish enough to invade Ukraine if it was not 100% certain that it had enough armaments to prosecute a war of indefinite duration.
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Missile strikes on Ukraine: a review of the latest events that are relevant today, May 27
Missile strikes on Ukraine: an overview of the latest events that are relevant today, May 27 During the military special operation, the Russian army is actively using attack drones and precision-guided missiles that hit Ukrainian military facilities in a number of cities. Every day in Ukraine, explosions are heard and an air raid alarm is sounded, after which there is information about the serious damage that is being done to the combat capability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU).
Missile strikes hit targets in Kyiv and Dnepropetrovsk, including in the Yuzhmash area: news for May 27
At night, a wave of attacks on the territories controlled by the Kyiv regime continued. Under the blows were enemy facilities in Kyiv and the Kyiv oblast. The Ukrainian side reports about the sounds of explosions in the capital of Ukraine.
According to the latest information, once again the RF Armed Forces used the tactics of delivering a combined strike. First, false air targets were fired, distracting the air defense, which was pretty battered by previous strikes, in the Kyiv oblast and in the capital of Ukraine itself, then missiles began to fly at the objects. This is reported by "Military review".
Several objects were hit both in Kyiv itself and in its environs. According to the latest information, several launchers and radar stations of Western-made anti-aircraft missile systems, delivered not so long ago to Ukraine, were destroyed.
Objects in Dnepropetrovsk were also targets of Russian strikes today. Despite the fact that Ukrainians are strictly forbidden to take any footage with the consequences of arrivals, photographic materials still appear on the network with certain comments. So, it is reported about the defeat of the target in the area of the enterprise of the aerospace industry "Yuzhmash".
Fires broke out at several military facilities in Dnepropetrovsk and its environs hit by Russian missiles. The explosion at one of the facilities was especially powerful, which gives reason to assume that a large ammunition depot, which was equipped by the troops of the Kyiv regime on the territory of one of the industrial enterprises, was destroyed.
Air alert declared in six oblasts of Ukraine
An air alert was announced on the night of Saturday, May 27, in six oblasts of Ukraine. This is evidenced by the data of the official resource for alerting citizens.
These oblasts are Vinnitsa, Dnepropetrovsk, Kirovograd, Nikolaev, Odessa and Cherkasy.
Warnings are also in effect in Kyiv-controlled areas of the Zaporozhye oblast.
A powerful explosion thundered in the Nikolaev oblast of Ukraine
In the Nikolaev oblast of Ukraine, the sounds of explosions are heard, which were heard shortly after the announcement of an air raid alert in the oblast. Information about what is happening came from several Ukrainian publications at once. The situation continues to evolve and official information from the local authorities has not yet been provided.
In particular, Strana.ua wrote about the alarm and subsequent explosions. The news resource briefly wrote about this in its Telegram channel. Additional information about the nature and specific locations of the explosions has not yet been disclosed.
Later, the Ministry of Digital Transformation of Ukraine also confirmed the information, having recorded the announcement of an air raid alert in the Mykolaiv [Ukr version of Nikolaev] oblast at 22:51 Moscow time. It is reported by "InfoSMI".
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Russia can reliably destroy the F-16s in Ukraine and win the war
It’s a lousy time to start a war, America!
I wrote a commentary on the new Russian “Storm” squadron designed to kill F-16s. A reader requested that I write on this topic using Western sources.
I did not find many, but, for example, this Western source repeats the lie that the new Storm squadron is intended to make up for the “failed” attack on Ukraine on May 3, where incoming Kinzhals were supposedly shot down.
The problem with that fable is, there is no known air defense system anywhere that can shoot down the Kinzhal, which is not only hypersonic but also zig-zags unpredictably as it homes in on its target. Western experts know this.
The maximum air speed of the Patriot’s interceptor missiles is only a fraction of the dizzying Mach 12 of the Kinzhal in its final flight stage.
The story that the Patriot, which has failed its missions against extremely slow targets in the Middle East, has supposedly shot down not one but six Kinzhals is so outlandish that it embarrasses any Western publication that carries the story – or perhaps I should say it would be embarrassing if Western readers had a modicum of education in the sciences or in arms technology. But apparently most don’t because there was little to no blowback to this obvious lie.
What makes this story all the more outlandish is that the Russian MoD normally does not fire more than one Kinzhal at a time because it is extremely expensive to manufacture.
And I know a little something about Russian missile attacks because I have been personally chronicling every single one of them since Oct 10 when the Russian armed forces started the missile strike campaign (not a single day was missed since then). No Kinzhal shootdown has ever been reported.
The one exception to the Russian frugality with its Kinzhals was the attack on an underground Lvov bunker on March 9 that reportedly killed dozens of Ukrainian military officials and some NATO officials. In this attack, not just one but 2 Kizhals were reportedly launched.
However, the real story is not the Russian weapons and their use in Ukraine but the wild, reckless Western disinformation surrounding the Ukraine war.
The extent of this disinformation and the transparency of the lies is astonishing.
I no longer trust any Western msm reports on the Ukraine war – or on any topic of geopolitical relevance for that matter. Because the Empire almost never tells the truth to the hoi-polloi when that truth goes counter to their ambitions of control.
In fact the reason I started compiling the reports on the missile attacks last October was that, starting in March of 2022, the media in the US-misled West started claiming that Russia was running out of missiles and I found this rather fishy.
The reports in March were from the supposedly most reputable media, including:
Reuters:
Global Defense Corp
https://www.globaldefensecorp.com/2022/03/18/russian-military-ran-out-of-guided-bombs-and-missiles/
CNN
Newsmax
and others.
And that’s just March. The lies slowed down but never stopped in the ensuing months.
Later in 2022, Stoltenberg repeated the refrain about Russia running out of missiles umpteen times and, each time he said that after Oct 10, Russia launched new strikes the very next day.
And speaking of disinformation, Yahoo, based on a Reuters report, published the following weird statement on May 9 of this year:
After a weeks-long hiatus [emphasis mine] Russia in late April resumed its tactic of long-range missile strikes against Ukraine and has launched a flurry of attacks in recent days.
My complete compilation of all Russian missile strikes since Oct 10, 2022, shows, as I pointed out above, that, to date, not a single day of multiple strikes was missed! (The reader is welcome to ask me about the missile strikes on any date in April. zoilandon@msn.com. The reports are from Russia but their listed sources are Ukrainian). There was no hiatus whatsoever! They make up their own facts. And then they pretend the Russians are the ones spreading propaganda!
So if the May 3 missile attack was not a failure, why then would Russia at this point in the game, want to switch to piloted aircraft?
Well, firstly, it is much cheaper to use air-launched guided aerial bombs than long-range missiles (and let’s remember: the longer Russia goes without firing off a hypersonic missile, the more of these weapons it will have put aside for a special mission—perhaps outside of Ukraine). Secondly, I suspect that the reason this new approach wasn’t tried before is that there once were more air defense systems in Ukraine than there are now. The Russians have so far been steadily destroying Ukrainian air defenses.
The site Geat Power Relations reports:
Ukrainian AD has been greatly degraded, in fact they are using second or third rounds of full AD infrastructure by now, as it continually gets entirely destroyed by Russia but more units are sent all the time.
Since many of these air defenses were Soviet-made, they are not coming back, and the West can’t afford to give away all its systems. The now-wrecked Patriot system with 5 launchers in Kiev is one of only a few such systems, so at the moment, it is probably considerably safer for Russian pilots to fly in Ukraine than before. Further, the Su-34, one of the fighters included in the new unit, is low-observable to radar (stealth).
Finally, let me point out that the West is ill-prepared to report on Russian arms in the first place.
The site Global Firepower, the most complete source, which purports to assess and rate all the armed forces in the world, and which I assume is consulted by serious scholars and military planners alike, seems designed to give the propaganda advantage to the US and short-change Russia (and others as well, such as China).
I say that because the military power of each state is broken down into categories at Global Firepower, but several important categories in which Russia excels are not covered.
Nonetheless, it seems more likely to me that the Western compilers of these statistics are not deliberately making propaganda, but simply have never learned to think in terms of non-conventional – though non-nuclear – components of power. That is, they are most likely not intentionally slighting Russia but have never been stimulated to think outside their tiny Western box.
Important categories of power that have been omitted are:
Important categories of power that have been omitted are:
Missile strength
Electronic warfare
Torpedo technology (eg, super-cavitating torpedoes)
Network-centric operations
Near-space capable missiles (which can shoot down military satellites)
Military industrial complex (if the US had known that Russian industry was capable of supplying 10 artillery rounds for every one fired by Ukraine, there may never have been a Bakhmut “meatgrinder,” but the West insisted that Kiev must maintain its offensive in that city)
ISR (intel surveillance and recon)
Air defense and radar
Lasers
And of course, since Global Firepower is billed as conventional only, the entire array of strategic and tactical nuclear weapons is ignored.
Further, in the category of natural resources, the oil and gas reserves of each state are reported, with Russia showing roughly twice the amount of oil and gas reserves as the US.
What is not reported in the GF format, however, is that most of the oil and gas in the US is found in shale and requires fracking, making the extraction significantly more expensive and well lives much shorter.
In terms of tanks, Russia has twice the amount as those in the US arsenal, while the US has more manpower.
The problem for the US is that its planners expect one war in Russia and another in China, and this means huge transport headaches. Before the troops and materiel could arrive to the theater, the enemy could easily destroy much of that which has already arrived while the rest is en route.
Another problem for the US is its cumbersome foreign debt, and this at a time when there is a long waiting list to join the BRICS organization, which is focused on de-dollarization and hence devaluing the dollar.
Global Manpower shows a debt of 20+ trillion for the US vs a measly 500 billion for Russia, and this figure is even falsely high. The real Russian debt has been trimmed down to 300+ billion.
Last but by no means least is the extreme political and social divide in the US, which poses an enormous problem for recruitment. Americans are in fact much more likely to engage with each other in a civil war than with Russia in a foreign war. Some states may even secede from the union.
While Global Firepower tells us that the US has more than twice the number of people “fit for service” as Russia, our populace is hopelessly divided not only politically but also geopolitically. The younger generations are anti-war though they understands little about the issues. Many conservatives warm up to Russia for its stance on social and religious issues. They won’t be recruitable and some will join the Russians.
And as for the rest, while many liberals hate Russia, it would be hard to persuade them to fight on the battlefield. They won’t die for the right to castrate boys.
In Russia, the situation is the opposite. Russians know the war in Ukraine is a matter of life or death for Russia and recruiting is hardly a problem.
These are just some of the obstacles for the psychopaths who want war.
And finally, no one knows at what point a direct war with Russia would become nuclear.
All in all, it’s a lousy time for a war on every count.
If the elites in Washington were smart, they’d walk away from the insane push for war.
Of course, if they were smart, we wouldn’t be having this conversation.